Learn · how it works

How the screens work

1 · The anatomy of a breakout

A leader pauses, and each pullback inside the pause is shallower than the one before it.

FORMING A BASE−22%−12%−6%the swings tightenprior uptrend87.41the ceiling it must clearBREAKING OUT ↑CLIMBING up days (demand) down days (supply)volume dries up in the base, demand stays heavierillustration, not real data
2 · The concepts
3 · How we narrow the market down

Every number below is a dial you can move in Filters.

  1. The liquid US universe
    US common stocks over $5, market cap over $300M, and at least $5M traded a day over the last 20 sessions.
  2. Leadership
    Relative strength rating of 70 or better.
  3. Above its 50-day line
    Price is above the average of the last 50 days.
  4. Above its 200-day line
    Price is above the average of the last 200 days.
  5. Still near its highs
    Within 30% of its highest price of the last year.
  6. Where we look for the ceiling
    The pivot is the highest price of the last 24 weeks.
  7. Long enough to be a base
    The base has lasted at least 3 weeks.
  8. Not a collapse
    From its ceiling, the base never fell more than 35%.
  9. The swings tighten
    The second half of the base swings no more than 0.9× as much as the first half.
  10. Volume dries up
    The second half of the base trades no more than 0.9× the volume of the first half.
  11. Near the trigger
    Price is no more than 20% below the pivot.
Don't take our word for it — test it on years of data.Backtest
4 · The trade, once it triggers

Risk is decided before entry — about 1.5% of capital on any one trade.

  1. Buy the breakout
    As it pushes through the pivot.
  2. Set a safety net
    An automatic exit if it drops about 8% from where you got in.
  3. Lock in "no loss"
    Once it is up enough, move that net to where you started.
  4. Ride the trend
    Raise the net as it climbs.
  5. Step off
    When the trend breaks.

Relative strength is the default sort because it is the only component of our own out-of-sample study that carried statistical support. The base and pivot work is a way of describing and timing a stock, not a claim that the shape predicts a return.

A screening and market-analytics tool. Not investment advice. We are not a registered investment adviser. Historical figures are backtests and are hypothetical.

What that means, in full